doodlestudies

00HOW RESEARCH WORKS

A link is
not a cause.

A researcher's desk with printed journal papers spread out, a highlighter and a notebook under a window, seen from above
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

Not all studies can answer the same question.

Some studies watch what happens to people. Others change one thing and compare. Reviews pull many studies together. Knowing which kind you are reading tells you how far a headline can go.

RANDOMISEthen compareUpdated

Check a study

01Principles

  • Watching is not testing
  • Chance makes groups fair
  • Many studies beat one
  • Three ideas behind fair tests

02THE SHORT ANSWER

Ask what kind
of study it was.

Definitions here follow the NIHR glossary
and Cochrane's guide to its reviews.

OBSERVING

Cohort studies watch

A cohort study follows a group over time and compares people exposed to something with people who were not. Investigators observe, they do not intervene.

Check a study

TESTING

Trials assign by chance

In a randomised controlled trial, the options being compared are randomly allocated, which helps keep the groups alike in everything else.

Why randomise

SUMMING UP

Reviews weigh it all

A systematic review uses explicit methods to find, select and appraise all the research on one question, to reduce bias.

See the numbers

03A QUICK STUDY CHECK

How well can it
show cause?

Pick a type of study to see what it does. The bar shows how well that design is suited to showing that one thing causes another.

Based on the NIHR research glossary and the Cochrane Library. A rough guide to study designs, not a verdict on any single study.

Study check

Choose a study type
Cohort studyShows a link

An observational study that follows a group over time. NIHR notes observational studies carry a greater risk of selection bias than experiments.

Trial without randomisationWatch for confounders

If the groups differ, for example in age, it is hard to tell what caused a difference in outcome. NIHR calls confounding a major concern in non-randomised trials.

Randomised controlled trialTests cause

Options are randomly allocated, which minimises imbalances in confounders between groups. Blinding where possible reduces bias further.

Systematic reviewWeighs the evidence

Identifies, appraises and combines all the studies that meet set criteria for one question, using methods chosen to minimise bias.

Sources: NIHR Glossary (observational study, cohort study, confounder, randomised controlled trial, systematic review); Cochrane Library, About Cochrane reviews.

04TWO NUMBERS WORTH KNOWING

An old fair test,
a flood of new papers.

One number from the history of fair tests,
one on why single studies are rarely the last word.

6 treatments

Scurvy treatments compared side by side in 1747

James Lind, a Scottish naval surgeon unsure which of many proposed scurvy treatments to use, compared six of them in a prospective controlled trial.

FAIR TESTS · JAMES LIND LIBRARY

1m+ papers

Research papers published each year

Sense about Science says around 28,000 scholarly and scientific journals use peer review, publishing over 1 million research papers a year.

JOURNALS · SENSE ABOUT SCIENCE

With so many papers, systematic reviews matter. Cochrane says its reviews are updated as new studies appear, because new results can change a review's conclusions.

05FOUR QUESTIONS TO ASK

Before you share
the headline.

These questions help you place a study before deciding how much weight to give it. They follow the definitions used by UK health researchers.

  1. Did they watch or test?

    If investigators only observed, the study can show a link, not prove a cause.

  2. Were the groups alike?

    Look for randomisation. Without it, differences such as age can explain the result.

  3. Who knew who got what?

    Blinding participants, carers and assessors lowers the risk of bias.

  4. Is there a review?

    A systematic review of all the studies on a question usually tells you more than one new paper.

Stacks of bound academic journals on library shelves, seen in soft light along a quiet aisle
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

06WHY RANDOMISE

Let chance
pick the groups.

Two identical trays of plain white numbered sample tubes on a laboratory bench, ready to be compared
AI-generated image, not a photograph of a real person or place.

A confounder is a factor linked to both the thing being tested and the outcome. NIHR's example: if the people in one group are younger, a lower risk of death in that group might be due to age rather than the treatment.

Randomisation is used to minimise those imbalances. Ideally the people enrolling participants do not know the random sequence, so they cannot steer who goes where. Placebos, made to look like the real thing, help keep people blind to their group.

07Questions

Questions people ask

What is the difference between correlation and causation?

A correlation means two things tend to go together. Observational studies can find such links, but a confounder, such as age, may explain both. Testing cause usually needs a fair comparison such as a randomised trial.

What is a cohort study?

NIHR describes it as an observational study that follows a defined group over time, comparing people exposed or not exposed to a factor of interest. It can look forward (prospective) or use past records (retrospective).

What is a control group?

The comparison group in a trial. Its members do not receive the new treatment under study, so researchers can see how the new option compares with no treatment or a known one.

Is a meta-analysis the same as a systematic review?

Not quite. A systematic review finds and appraises all the relevant studies. A meta-analysis is the statistical step of combining their results, which not every review includes.

Why do systematic reviews get updated?

Cochrane says the results of new studies can change a review's conclusions, so its reviews are updated as new evidence becomes available.

08Sources

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